Future pathways
Volos workshop
Scenario 1: Maintaining established practices and limited adaptation to environmental sustainability policies
This scenario describes a set of entrenched practices developed over past decades as a response to systemic problems in tree crop farming as well as locally defined challenges. Acreage-based subsidies, extensive chemical use, and reliance on mechanical harvesting dominate. Participation in Integrated Management or organic farming programs remains limited and is mostly linked to income-related criteria. Water management is unregulated, while agricultural knowledge remains an individual matter without common standards. Cooperatives focus on commercial and subsidy-related claims. Product distribution is based on bulk trade, with no standardization or strategic differentiation.
Scenario 2: Fragmented adoption of Farm to Fork and limited innovation efforts
This scenario describes a model for achieving resilience in rural communities through partial adherence to the goals of the Farm to Fork strategy. Subsidies are provided based on acreage and environmental criteria (organic farming and eco-schemes), while water and chemical use is reduced for cost and environmental protection reasons, without strict limits being set. Integrated Crop Management (ICM) and organic farming are adopted on a small, fragmented scale. Cooperatives coordinate production, marketing, and communication with buyers, implementing voluntary protocols. Harvesting is hybrid, with some spatial adjustments. Added value is sought through PDO/PGI within existing market categories.
Scenario 3: Adaptability and full alignment with Farm to Fork
This scenario focuses on resilience through full alignment with the changes brought by the Farm to Fork strategy in agri-food systems. Subsidies are granted exclusively based on environmental criteria through organic farming and eco-schemes, with a planned reduction of pesticides by 50%, fertilizers by 20%, and limited water use supported by smart farming systems. Integrated Crop Management (ICM) is applied universally, while organic farming covers over 25% of production. Cooperatives organize production and strengthen collective governance. A protocol for tree crops is developed, using mild mechanical methods, geographical indications, certifications, and an emphasis on carbon footprint.
Scenario 4: Spatial Transformation Path
This scenario focuses on resilience through full alignment with the changes brought by the Farm to Fork strategy in agri-food systems. Subsidies are granted exclusively based on environmental criteria through organic farming and eco-schemes, with a planned reduction of pesticides by 50%, fertilizers by 20%, and limited water use supported by smart farming systems. Integrated Crop Management (ICM) is applied universally, while organic farming covers over 25% of production. Cooperatives organize production and strengthen collective governance. A protocol for tree crops is developed, using mild mechanical methods, geographical indications, certifications, and an emphasis on carbon footprint.
Scenario Analysis
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This scenario describes a set of entrenched practices developed over past decades as a response to systemic problems in tree crop farming as well as locally defined challenges. Acreage-based subsidies, extensive chemical use, and reliance on mechanical harvesting dominate. Participation in Integrated Management or organic farming programs remains limited and is mostly linked to income-related criteria. Water management is unregulated, while agricultural knowledge remains an individual matter without common standards. Cooperatives focus on commercial and subsidy-related claims. Product distribution is based on bulk trade, with no standardization or strategic differentiation.
This scenario describes a model for achieving resilience in rural communities through partial adherence to the goals of the Farm to Fork strategy. Subsidies are provided based on acreage and environmental criteria (organic farming and eco-schemes), while water and chemical use is reduced for cost and environmental protection reasons, without strict limits being set. Integrated Crop Management (ICM) and organic farming are adopted on a small, fragmented scale. Cooperatives coordinate production, marketing, and communication with buyers, implementing voluntary protocols. Harvesting is hybrid, with some spatial adjustments. Added value is sought through PDO/PGI within existing market categories.
This scenario focuses on resilience through full alignment with the changes brought by the Farm to Fork strategy in agri-food systems. Subsidies are granted exclusively based on environmental criteria through organic farming and eco-schemes, with a planned reduction of pesticides by 50%, fertilizers by 20%, and limited water use supported by smart farming systems. Integrated Crop Management (ICM) is applied universally, while organic farming covers over 25% of production. Cooperatives organize production and strengthen collective governance. A protocol for tree crops is developed, using mild mechanical methods, geographical indications, certifications, and an emphasis on carbon footprint.
This scenario focuses on resilience through full alignment with the changes brought by the Farm to Fork strategy in agri-food systems. Subsidies are granted exclusively based on environmental criteria through organic farming and eco-schemes, with a planned reduction of pesticides by 50%, fertilizers by 20%, and limited water use supported by smart farming systems. Integrated Crop Management (ICM) is applied universally, while organic farming covers over 25% of production. Cooperatives organize production and strengthen collective governance. A protocol for tree crops is developed, using mild mechanical methods, geographical indications, certifications, and an emphasis on carbon footprint.